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18 Jan 2008
Category focus: DairyWith a sales value of almost £7.6bn and as the largest food category, Dairy Crest's 2007 report ŒDairy for life' apprises dairy as; “clearly a super category”. However, in the latter half of 2007 soaring milk prices and supply issues sent pricing across the sector spiralling. Up until the end of last summer prices had been flat for at least two years, says Nick Slater, senior controller chilled foods at Nisa-Todays. Since August prices on dairy products have gone through the roof. We have seen increases of up to 25%. With prices widely anticipated to keep on rising well into 2008, retailers must look to the latest consumer trends to ensure they are stocking products that consumers consider worthy of their price tags. Dairy is well-placed to capitalise on the healthy eating trends that are pushing spending across the entire food and drink sector. Consumers intrinsically see dairy as healthy, providing important nutritional benefits, says Dairy Crest. However, healthy is no longer the one-dimensional low fat/low calorie concept that it used to be. Whilst consumers continue to look to trim their waistlines with lower fat milk products (three quarters of milk sales are semi-skimmed, and skimmed is catching up, says Robert Neal, trading controller at Spar), its no longer diet-led that is driving demand for healthy. Balanced diet People are adopting a more holistic, more natural approach and we are seeing consumers switching from diet specific products to foods that positively help them achieve a healthy, balanced diet, says Chris McDonough, marketing and R&D director at Müller. The new Müllerlight marketing campaign, just launched this January, echoes McDonoughs comments, creating a healthy message rather than positioning it as a diet product. However, there is still space for indulgence, and consumers are still buying into the cream category. There has been a definite move towards crème fraiche and soured cream which offer consumers such versatility, says Slater at Nisa-Todays. Even mascarpone is becoming a popular cream substitute, through PR from celebrity chefs. Not enough independents stock these products at the moment. Elsewhere in dairy, the rapid rise of functional products is now beginning to slow. Functional spreads such as Flora Proactive have withered somewhat, says Neal at Spar. The higher pricing and a reduction in promotional activity have been deterring shoppers. Even functional yogurts, recent stars of the chiller cabinet, have been suffering. Neal again: The huge growth in functional yogurts in 2006 has slowed as too many brands have come in and fragmented the category. Retailers should focus in on known sellers, otherwise they risk confusing consumers with too much choice. In the butter, spreads and margarine (BSM) category, its butter which has profited from u this move to natural. This year, I think well continue to see more people going back to butter as consumers opt for purer, more natural foods, says Alison Palmer, brand marketing controller for Kerrygold. However, consumers are still demanding convenience and this has led to a surge in spreadable butter sales, which is the largest sector in BSM, valued at £244m. This has real benefits for retailers, says Neal at Spar: The margin on these products may be slightly lower, but the the category is not being compromised by BOGOF activity. Organic growth Lurpaks launch into organic butter reflects a wider trend making waves through dairy. According to Lurpak volume sales of organic BSM are growing 16% year-on-year and worth £13m. Brands such as Yeo Valley and Rachels Organic are now moving mainstream and Yeo Valley has heavy investment planned for 2008. Its modern, cleaner rebranding is currently being supported by £3m of press, poster and TV advertising. Organic has really revitalised the milk market and from a virtually static situation it is now in growth again. However, Neal of Spar is more cautious about the imminent potential of organic milk: Organic milk is still not a core product and its important that it doesnt overface the chiller section, particularly where space is at a premium. As long as you have fresh milk 24/seven then you will be meeting consumers demands, but you must have the right fat content in stock. Popular provenance An area of continuing growth, which all experts agree retailers should be aware of, is provenance. Mintel reports that the trend for buying British has provided a huge boost for sales of British regional cheeses, which it says rose by 16% between 2004 and 2006. Consumers palates are also changing, and those after a richer taste are driving sales of extra mature and vintage Cheddars. Slater at Nisa-Todays believes this will also mean an increase in sales of continental cheese: Independents still lag behind on continental cheese and we are seeing big growth in these areas. Whilst Neal at Spar says that it is important to keep stocking the core ranges; Ultimately the bulk of sales will come from core products from Danone and Muller, Slater says there is still no excuse for independents not to experiment; Consumers are now expecting to see all the new products in independent stores too. I would recommend retailers to invest a s much as they can in refrigeration and stock new products, especially those which have been nationally launched. Paul Delves, managing director of Harry Tuffins stores, has three convenience stores of between 1,500 and 3,000 sq ft in Shropshire and mid-Wales. With the most recent store to open boasting 30 metres of chillers, 18 metres of which are dedicated to dairy, Delves has some top tips to maximise sales in this category. At my stores, its important to stock local produce. Customers are keen to know that local means reduced food miles and we use barkers at product level to display food miles. However, Delves advises that pricing is still crucial: There is a lot of talk about local and we will continue to expand our local offering, but weve got to get the price right. The two most important things to customers are price and convenience, and customers will still turn their noses up if products are too expensive. Promotions are also always very popular, says Delves. as much as 30% of our dairy takings are from promotions and 2 for deals are particularly popular. In his newest store Delves has sectioned off food-to-go in a separate chiller, and retails milk, one-shot yogurts and some cheese snacks such as Dairylea Dunkers and Babybel.
Slater: Also, food-on-the-go is in huge growth. Dairylea Dunkers and Philadelphia Snacks are both seeing double digit value growth and there have been range extensions by Cheesestrings (light variant), and by Primula cheese (squeezy tube format) launched in 2007. Slater predicts there will be even more npd in 2008: A number of manufacturers are now looking for their products to be stocked alongside sandwiches. Our recommendation is to have a separate food-on-the-go cabinet which should be front of store for easy access for lunchtime trade.
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